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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 24 April 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 24 April 2026. Jong AZ vs Roda sits top on 66% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 36%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 16%
Draw 18%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Championship · England
Leicester
1 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 51%
#4 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
Win 30%
Draw 21%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
0 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 29%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 26%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
3 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
0 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 32%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 2 FT
Montpellier
Win 26%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#16 Superettan · Sweden
Ljungskile SK
4 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
#17 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
#19 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
2 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 53%
#20 Premier League · England
Sunderland
0 : 5 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 24 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong AZ vs Roda at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.