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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 2 February 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Monday 2 February 2026. Casa Pia vs FC Porto sits top on 71% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
2 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 10%
Draw 19%
Win 71%
BTTS No 58%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
AVS
0 : 4 FT
SC Braga
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kocaelispor
0 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 19%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Nieciecza
0 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
NEOM
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 2 February 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Casa Pia vs FC Porto at 71% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.