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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 30 January 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 30 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Al Kholood vs Al-Nassr at 62% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
0 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 18%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 53%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
3 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 31%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
0 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 24%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
3 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
3 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Nancy
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
2 : 1 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Championship · England
Bristol City
0 : 5 FT
Derby
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
5 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 30 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Kholood vs Al-Nassr at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.