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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 5 February 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Thursday 5 February 2026. Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai sits top on 62% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 4 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 14%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 62%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
0 : 6 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
5 : 3 FT
Botafogo
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 5 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 5 February 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.