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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 13 April 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 13 April 2024. SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf led the list at 63% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
0 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 53%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Lecco
1 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
0 : 3 FT
Annecy
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Concarneau
0 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 3 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 20%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
3 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
2 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#12 League One Β· England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
0 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
4 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Fredrikstad
2 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
0 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#20 League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 34%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 13 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.