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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 10 April 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 10 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda at 56% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 3 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#2 League One Β· England
Wycombe
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
#3 Championship Β· England
Hull City
2 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 54%
#4 Championship Β· England
Swansea
3 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
#5 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#6 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
0 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
5 : 0 FT
Blackburn
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 10 April 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.