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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 18 March 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 18 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda at 65% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 26%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
4 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
3 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
0 : 3 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 24%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
Win 33%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
1 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 0 FT
Heracles
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 25%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Torino
Win 23%
Draw 45%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS No 75% Torino Clean Sheet 57%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 3 FT
Finn Harps
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 63%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
4 : 1 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 19 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 18 March 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda at 65% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.