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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Monday 16 August 2021

Fri 13 Sat 14 Sun 15 Mon 16 Tue 17 Wed 18 Thu 19

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 16 August 2021. Internacional vs Fluminense sits top on 78% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the under 2.5 goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil 78%

Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%

Primera División · Chile 71%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%

Süper Lig · Turkey 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%

Süper Lig · Turkey 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%

La Liga · Spain 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 67%

Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%

Ligue 2 · France 62%

#10

Premier League · Russia 62%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#12

La Liga · Spain 61%

#13

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia 59%

Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#14

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands 56%

#15

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands 56%

Showing top 15 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Monday 16 August 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Internacional vs Fluminense at 78% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.