🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Saturday 8 May 2021

Wed 5 Thu 6 Fri 7 Sat 8 Sun 9 Mon 10 Tue 11

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Saturday 8 May 2021. O'Higgins vs Union Espanola led the list at 85% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Superettan supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the under 2.5 goals market — 37%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile 85%

Under 2.5 85% BTTS No 75% O'Higgins Clean Sheet 58%

Superettan · Sweden 79%

✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Landskrona BoIS Clean Sheet 56%

Super League · China 78%

✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 65%

K League 1 · South-Korea 74%

✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%

Superettan · Sweden 73%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%

Premier Division · Ireland 72%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%

Bundesliga · Germany 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Primera División · Chile 66%

Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Superettan · Sweden 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 54%

#10

Allsvenskan · Sweden 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%

#11

Allsvenskan · Sweden 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#12

Primera División · Chile 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#13

Premier Division · Ireland 60%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#14

K League 1 · South-Korea 59%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%

#15

Premier Division · Ireland 59%

Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

Super League · China 58%

#17

Allsvenskan · Sweden 58%

#18

Bundesliga · Germany 57%

#19

Allsvenskan · Sweden 57%

Showing top 19 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Saturday 8 May 2021?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by O'Higgins vs Union Espanola at 85% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.