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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 22 August 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Exeter City
: 15:00
Accrington ST
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
: 16:00
FC Krasnodar
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#3 League One Β· England
Peterborough
: 15:00
Mansfield Town
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.