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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 31 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
: 19:45
Shelbourne
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
: 01:30
Cruzeiro
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
: 12:35
Dalian Zhixing
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
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Showing top 10 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.