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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 30 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
: 01:30
Palmeiras
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
: 01:30
Bahia
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
: 23:30
Atletico Paranaense
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 3 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.