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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 3 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Super League Β· China
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
4 : 4 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
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Showing top 6 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.