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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 5 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2 FT
Forge
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 53%
#3 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
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Showing top 9 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.