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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 28 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Peterborough
0 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
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Showing top 6 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.