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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Wednesday 7 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
3 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
2 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
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Showing top 13 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.