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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 9 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
0 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
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Showing top 5 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.