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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 2 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Guimaraes
2 : 1 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
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Showing top 10 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.