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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 2 October 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
1 : 0 FT
Ceara
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 League One Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
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Showing top 5 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.