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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Sunday 20 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
0 : 1 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 36%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
#2 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Primera División · Chile
Palestino
2 : 3 FT
Colo Colo
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
#5 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
3 : 5 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 37%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Super League · Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
2 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#7 Premier League · England
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 28%
Draw 41%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Venezia
0 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 32%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
0 : 3 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
2 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
0 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Cesena
3 : 5 FT
Sampdoria
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#14 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
2 : 2 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
0 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 34%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
Win 30%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
#18 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#19 Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.