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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Monday 21 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#3 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
3 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
3 : 5 FT
Palmeiras
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 3 FT
Monza
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 3 FT
Paris FC
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
#9 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
2 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#11 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey
Bodrum FK
0 : 1 FT
Rizespor
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 1 FT
Roda
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
2 : 3 FT
Las Palmas
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
#17 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Karpaty
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 17 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.