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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 14 April 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 14 April 2024. NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle (NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals) led the list at 73% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 73%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 71%
Liverpool
0 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals 71%
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 12%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club over 1.5 goals 69%
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 68%
Inter
2 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 65% Inter Clean Sheet 62%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals 67%
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 66%
Sassuolo
3 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 65%
Molde
2 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli over 1.5 goals 64%
FC St. Pauli
3 : 4 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 63%
Arsenal
0 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Arouca over 1.5 goals 63%
Arouca
2 : 1 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns over 1.5 goals 62%
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 26%
Draw 21%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heracles over 1.5 goals 62%
Heracles
0 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals 62%
Panathinaikos
3 : 1 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 62%
BSC Young Boys
4 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#16 Premier League Β· England West Ham over 1.5 goals 59%
West Ham
0 : 2 FT
Fulham
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 59%
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Benfica Clean Sheet 58%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals 59%
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 57%
Lillestrom
0 : 5 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 28%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Casa Pia over 1.5 goals 56%
Portimonense
2 : 2 FT
Casa Pia
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 14 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle (NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals) at 73% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.