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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 3 March 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 3 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs Farense (Sporting CP over 1.5 goals) at 85% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 41%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 85%
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 79%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp over 1.5 goals 73%
Antwerp
3 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 72%
Hamburger SV
1 : 2 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals 72%
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 70%
Lamia
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Winterthur over 1.5 goals 69%
FC Winterthur
2 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht over 1.5 goals 69%
Anderlecht
1 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria Rapid Vienna over 1.5 goals 67%
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#9 Premier League Β· England Bournemouth over 1.5 goals 66%
Burnley
0 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 21%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard over 1.5 goals 64%
Fortuna Sittard
5 : 2 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 64%
Atalanta
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club over 1.5 goals 63%
Athletic Club
0 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 63%
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown over 1.5 goals 62%
Hangzhou Greentown
1 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals 59%
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg over 1.5 goals 58%
WSG Wattens
1 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Zlin over 1.5 goals 57%
Zlin
0 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 3 March 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Farense (Sporting CP over 1.5 goals) at 85% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.