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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 5 March 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Tuesday 5 March 2024. Peterborough vs Northampton (Peterborough over 1.5 goals) sits top on 72% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 5, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Peterborough over 1.5 goals 72%
Peterborough
5 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 18%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town over 1.5 goals 69%
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Championship Β· England Leeds over 1.5 goals 65%
Leeds
1 : 0 FT
Stoke City
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60%
#4 Championship Β· England Coventry over 1.5 goals 60%
Coventry
5 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Championship Β· England Ipswich over 1.5 goals 57%
Ipswich
3 : 2 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 5 March 2024?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Peterborough vs Northampton (Peterborough over 1.5 goals) at 72% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.