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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 11 February 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 11 February 2024. Sporting CP vs SC Braga (Sporting CP over 1.5 goals) led the list at 79% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 79%
Sporting CP
5 : 0 FT
SC Braga
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 77%
FC Volendam
1 : 5 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 4%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS No 56% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel over 1.5 goals 74%
Holstein Kiel
1 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 69%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals 68%
ADO Den Haag
3 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 goals 67%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 65%
Barcelona
3 : 3 FT
Granada CF
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals 64%
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Dender over 1.5 goals 64%
KRC Genk II
2 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina over 1.5 goals 62%
Fiorentina
5 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen over 1.5 goals 62%
Heerenveen
3 : 2 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC over 1.5 goals 60%
Police Tero
0 : 4 FT
Port FC
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims over 1.5 goals 59%
Lorient
2 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA over 1.5 goals 58%
Beerschot VA
2 : 0 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht over 1.5 goals 57%
Charleroi
1 : 3 FT
Anderlecht
Win 28%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 57%
Utrecht
4 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals 57%
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 56%
PAOK
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals 56%
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Sivasspor over 1.5 goals 55%
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 11 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs SC Braga (Sporting CP over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.