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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 22 December 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 22 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Hazm vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (Al-Ahli Jeddah over 1.5 goals) at 89% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah over 1.5 goals 89%
Al-Hazm
0 : 4 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 9%
Draw 11%
βœ“ Win 80%
✓ Over 2.5 89% BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa over 1.5 goals 85%
Aston Villa
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 91%
Draw 7%
Win 2%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS No 64% Aston Villa Clean Sheet 63%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 83%
Den Bosch
3 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 13%
Draw 15%
Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#4 League Two Β· England Stockport County over 1.5 goals 78%
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Groningen over 1.5 goals 63%
Groningen
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 59%
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 League Two Β· England Salford City over 1.5 goals 56%
Colchester
2 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 7 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 22 December 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hazm vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (Al-Ahli Jeddah over 1.5 goals) at 89% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.