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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 24 September 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 September 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia (Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals) led the list at 79% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 58%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals 79%
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 14%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 78%
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking over 1.5 goals 75%
Viking
4 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel over 1.5 goals 73%
Holstein Kiel
2 : 3 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 71%
BSC Young Boys
4 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland Yverdon Sport over 1.5 goals 68%
Yverdon Sport
3 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 67%
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 46%
Draw 20%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 66%
Waalwijk
1 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 16%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom over 1.5 goals 65%
Lillestrom
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Premier League Β· England Brighton over 1.5 goals 65%
Brighton
3 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown over 1.5 goals 64%
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 5 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Championship Β· England Sunderland over 1.5 goals 64%
Sunderland
0 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor over 1.5 goals 64%
Kasımpaşa
2 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 62%
Portimonense
1 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece Volos NFC over 1.5 goals 61%
Volos NFC
1 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 60%
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren over 1.5 goals 59%
SK Beveren
1 : 2 FT
Liège
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern over 1.5 goals 58%
FC Luzern
2 : 0 FT
Servette FC
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway Ham-Kam over 1.5 goals 58%
Ham-Kam
1 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa over 1.5 goals 58%
Legia Warszawa
2 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 24 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia (Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.