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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability — Friday 26 February 2027

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market — it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Friday 26 February 2027. Den Bosch vs FC Volendam tops the list at 88% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies eight of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 72%
Draw 14%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 88% BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
: 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 54%
Draw 19%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 75%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
: 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
: 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 64%
Draw 17%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 19:00
Emmen
Win 54%
Draw 20%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 72%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 19:00
Vitesse
Win 18%
Draw 19%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 19:00
FC OSS
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
: 19:00
MVV
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
: 19:00
Grenoble
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
: 19:00
Nancy
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Friday 26 February 2027?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Den Bosch vs FC Volendam at 88% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.