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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Monday 2 November 2026

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Monday 2 November 2026. Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht sits top on 81% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
: 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 57%
Draw 18%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 76%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
: 19:00
Vitesse
Win 19%
Draw 18%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
: 17:30
Fiorentina
Win 52%
Draw 20%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
: 19:00
FC OSS
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
: 20:15
Alverca
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
: 19:00
NAC Breda
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
: 15:00
Zenit
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
: 18:00
Helsingborg
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Monday 2 November 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht at 81% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.