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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability — Friday 26 February 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market — you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

17 matches clear our threshold on Friday 26 February 2027. Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport tops the list at 93% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies eight of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
– : – 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 67%
Draw 16%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
– : – 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
– : – 19:00
Nancy
Win 23%
Draw 20%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
– : – 19:00
Emmen
Win 36%
Draw 21%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
– : – 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
– : – 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
– : – 19:00
Grenoble
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
– : – 19:00
MVV
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
– : – 19:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
– : – 19:00
FC OSS
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
– : – 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
– : – 19:00
PAU
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
– : – 19:00
Laval
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
– : – 19:00
Dunkerque
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
– : – 19:00
Vitesse
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
– : – 19:00
Sochaux
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 63% Saint Etienne Clean Sheet 56%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
– : – 19:00
Guingamp
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 17 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (≥ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 26 February 2027?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport at 93% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.