Sign in Register
⚑

Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 1 April 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Friday 1 April 2022. Beerschot VA vs Club Brugge KV led the list at 89% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies seven of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 84%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 3 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 14%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 5 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 33%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 37%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 32%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
0 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 0 FT
Excelsior
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
2 : 3 FT
Khimki
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04
3 : 2 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
3 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 0 FT
SK Beveren
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Dynamo Dresden
1 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 56%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 19 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 1 April 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beerschot VA vs Club Brugge KV at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.