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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 3 April 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 3 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen at 92% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 38%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
2 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
4 : 0 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 0 FT
Tromso
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
1 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
3 : 4 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
0 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
3 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
4 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
2 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
3 : 0 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
jerv
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 0 FT
Utsikten
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 3 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.