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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 3 November 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 3 November 2021. Blackburn vs Fulham sits top on 88% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 72%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies three of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 7 FT
Fulham
Win 38%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
1 : 4 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
3 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Championship Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 53%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
D. Melipilla
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
3 : 4 FT
FC Seoul
Win 27%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 3 November 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Blackburn vs Fulham at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.