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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 4 November 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 4 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Palestino vs Union La Calera at 82% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Primera División supplies four of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
1 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 33%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
1 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
4 : 0 FT
Antofagasta
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
BTTS No 60% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 55%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
0 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 4 November 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Palestino vs Union La Calera at 82% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.