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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 24 October 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Servette FC vs FC Sion at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 84%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 2 FT
FC Sion
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 75%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
4 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
4 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
0 : 0 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
4 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
3 : 3 FT
Brann
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
0 : 5 FT
Liverpool
Win 24%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
2 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 30%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Spal
1 : 1 FT
Como
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
2 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 24 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Servette FC vs FC Sion at 93% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.