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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 22 November 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 22 November 2020. Stromsgodset vs Bodo/Glimt led the list at 91% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 16%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 0 FT
Mjondalen
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 19%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 2 FT
Start
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
3 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
0 : 3 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 22 November 2020?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Stromsgodset vs Bodo/Glimt at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.