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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 21 November 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Saturday 21 November 2020. Bayern München vs Werder Bremen sits top on 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 3 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 17%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 21 November 2020?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Werder Bremen at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.