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Low Scoring Predictions

Fixtures ranked by lowest predicted expected total goals — Saturday 21 September 2024

Our prediction model identifies fixtures where both teams have historically weak attack or strong defence. Fixtures at the top of this list have the lowest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Under 2.5 goals and low-scoring correct score markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 29%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Modena
3 : 0 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 2 FT
Estoril
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Venezia
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 21%
Draw 37%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 League One · England
Exeter City
2 : 0 FT
Stevenage
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 0 FT
Estrela
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
✓ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#12 League One · England
Stockport County
1 : 4 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
0 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Espanyol
✓ Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 67% Real Madrid Clean Sheet 61%
#15 Premier League · Russia
Akron
2 : 5 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 33%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#17 Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
0 : 2 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#19 League Two · England
Colchester
3 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#20 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
1 : 3 FT
Forge
Win 34%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 34%
Under 2.5 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by lowest combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.