Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Saturday 5 December 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 5 December 2026. Beerschot VA vs Club Brugge II sits top on 83% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
– : – 19:00
Club Brugge II
Win 83%
Draw 10%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Amed
– : – 13:00
Alanyaspor
Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
– : – 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
Win 76%
Draw 13%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
– : – 17:00
Mlada Boleslav
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC
– : – 19:45
Le Mans
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
– : – 18:30
Lask Linz
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
– : – 16:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
– : – 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
– : – 12:30
Derby
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
– : – 14:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
– : – 16:15
Auxerre
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
– : – 19:45
Angers
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
– : – 12:00
Pattani
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Championship · England
Cardiff
– : – 15:00
Lincoln
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Premier League · England
Leeds
– : – 15:00
Ipswich
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
– : – 11:00
Rasi Salai United
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
– : – 15:00
Crystal Palace
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55%
#18 Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
– : – 16:00
Grazer AK
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#19 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
– : – 12:00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Avellino
– : – 14:00
Sudtirol
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 5 December 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beerschot VA vs Club Brugge II at 83% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.