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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 6 December 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 6 December 2026. Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis tops the list at 81% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
– : – 15:30
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 71%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
– : – 13:00
Eyüpspor
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
– : – 21:00
Union La Calera
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 64%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
– : – 16:00
Start
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 66%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
– : – 13:00
Samsunspor
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
– : – 16:00
Celta Vigo
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 61%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
– : – 16:00
Maritimo
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
– : – 16:00
Çorum FK
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
– : – 17:30
Volos NFC
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#10 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
– : – 16:00
Austria Vienna
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
– : – 18:00
Iraklis 1908
Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#12 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
– : – 14:00
Dynamo
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
– : – 17:30
Lecce
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
– : – 19:45
Nice
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
– : – 13:30
Utrecht
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
– : – 16:00
Levante
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
– : – 17:30
Udinese
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
– : – 12:00
Zlin
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 6 December 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis at 81% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.