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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 24 May 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Sunday 24 May 2026. Hammarby FF vs AIK Stockholm sits top on 73% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 3 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
0 : 5 FT
Shenyang Urban
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
1 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#5 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 1 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
2 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 2 FT
Kudrivka
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
5 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
2 : 1 FT
Gais
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 3 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 13 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 24 May 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hammarby FF vs AIK Stockholm at 73% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.