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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 13 November 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 13 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Feyenoord vs Excelsior at 79% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 41%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
5 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
1 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 59%
#7 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 1 FT
jerv
Win 66%
Draw 16%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
2 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#14 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 3 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 3 FT
Sandviken
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
5 : 0 FT
Lommel United
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 17 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 13 November 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs Excelsior at 79% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.