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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 10 April 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 10 April 2022. Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus sits top on 74% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the home win market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Benevento
1 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
4 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
BTTS No 53%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
3 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
#7 Championship Β· England
Fulham
1 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
3 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
5 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
5 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 2 FT
D. La Serena
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
2 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%

Showing top 15 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 10 April 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus at 74% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.