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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Friday 26 February 2027

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

13 fixtures clear the bar on Friday 26 February 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport at 4.27 in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 4.27 down to 2.51, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies eight of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
– : – 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 67%
Draw 16%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
– : – 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
– : – 19:00
Nancy
Win 23%
Draw 20%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
– : – 19:00
Emmen
Win 36%
Draw 21%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
– : – 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
– : – 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
– : – 19:00
Grenoble
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
– : – 19:00
MVV
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
– : – 19:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
– : – 19:00
FC OSS
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
– : – 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
– : – 19:00
PAU
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
– : – 19:00
Laval
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 26 February 2027?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport at 4.27 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.