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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Sunday 31 October 2021

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 31 October 2021. Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha sits top on 83% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the first half goals market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 83%
Baník Ostrava
2 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 40%
Draw 20%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway 83%
Viking
1 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 82%
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada 82%
Pacific FC
1 : 2 FT
York United
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine 80%
FC Kharkiv
1 : 6 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway 80%
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 2 FT
Mjondalen
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 80%
Utrecht
5 : 1 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 79%
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Göztepe
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 78%
Zulte Waregem
2 : 6 FT
Genk
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 78%
Górnik Łęczna
0 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 78%
Anderlecht
2 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway 78%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy 77%
Fiorentina
3 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland 76%
Lausanne
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 76%
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway 75%
Valerenga
1 : 0 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 75%
Gent
0 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 75%
Karlsruher SC
2 : 4 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 18 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Sunday 31 October 2021?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha at 83% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.