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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Tuesday 30 August 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Tuesday 30 August 2022. Inter vs Cremonese (Inter (draw no bet)) sits top on 88% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the draw no bet market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter (draw no bet) 88%
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#2 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd (draw no bet) 87%
Sheffield Utd
4 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional (draw no bet) 86%
Internacional
4 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma (draw no bet) 85%
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia (draw no bet) 84%
Saint Etienne
5 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Caen (draw no bet) 82%
Caen
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica (draw no bet) 78%
Benfica
3 : 2 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Zlin (draw no bet) 78%
Zlin
2 : 1 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Le Havre (draw no bet) 76%
Laval
1 : 3 FT
Le Havre
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha (draw no bet) 75%
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians (draw no bet) 75%
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Premier League Β· England Leeds (draw no bet) 71%
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 12 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Tuesday 30 August 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Cremonese (Inter (draw no bet)) at 88% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.