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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Monday 18 April 2022

Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20 Thu 21

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 18 April 2022. Bolton vs Accrington ST (Bolton (draw no bet)) led the list at 88% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the draw no bet market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Bolton (draw no bet) 88%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%

League One · England Shrewsbury (draw no bet) 82%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%

Championship · England Nottingham Forest (draw no bet) 81%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Super League · Switzerland FC ST. Gallen (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Premier Division · Ireland Bohemians (draw no bet) 77%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) 77%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% St Patrick's Athl. Clean Sheet 59%

Superettan · Sweden Norrby IF (draw no bet) 77%

#10

Serie B · Italy Cremonese (draw no bet) 77%

#11

Superettan · Sweden IK brage (draw no bet) 76%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#12

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet) 75%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 53%

#13

League One · England Wycombe (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%

#14

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers (draw no bet) 74%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

#15

League Two · England Stevenage (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%

#16

League Two · England Salford City (draw no bet) 73%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%

#17

Serie B · Italy Lecce (draw no bet) 72%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#18

Super League · Switzerland FC Basel 1893 (draw no bet) 72%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

#19

League One · England Plymouth (draw no bet) 72%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#20

Ekstraklasa · Poland Gornik Zabrze (draw no bet) 71%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Monday 18 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bolton vs Accrington ST (Bolton (draw no bet)) at 88% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.