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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 30 October 2021

Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 31 Mon 1 Tue 2

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 30 October 2021. SC Freiburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (SC Freiburg (draw no bet)) sits top on 90% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the draw no bet market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg (draw no bet) 90%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet) 90%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Premier League · Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv (draw no bet) 89%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet) 86%

Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg (draw no bet) 86%

Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 66%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) 86%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Eliteserien · Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) 84%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%

#10

League Two · England Swindon Town (draw no bet) 83%

#11

Eliteserien · Norway Molde (draw no bet) 83%

#12

Championship · England Swansea (draw no bet) 82%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#13

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga (draw no bet) 81%

#14

Premier League · England Manchester City (draw no bet) 81%

#15

Premier League · England Chelsea (draw no bet) 81%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica (draw no bet) 81%

#17

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Excelsior (draw no bet) 80%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%

#18

League Two · England Newport County (draw no bet) 79%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#19

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lechia Gdansk (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 56%

#20

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 30 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Freiburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (SC Freiburg (draw no bet)) at 90% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.