Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 17 October 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 October 2026. Bayern München vs RB Leipzig (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
92%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG or draw
91%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
89%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
89%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking or draw
88%
Championship · England
Southampton or draw
87%
Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun or draw
86%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen or draw
86%
League One · England
Luton or draw
85%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Amed or draw
84%
League Two · England
Newport County or draw
84%
League Two · England
Grimsby or draw
84%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
84%
League One · England
Stockport County or draw
83%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
83%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma or draw
83%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kudrivka or draw
82%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 17 October 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs RB Leipzig (Bayern München or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.