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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 23 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Monday 23 February 2026. Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa (Fenerbahçe or draw) sits top on 86% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 86%
Fenerbahçe
1 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 84%
Famalicao
2 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 84%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
4 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 83%
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 83%
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 81%
Al-Fateh
2 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 80%
Emmen
0 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lechia Gdansk or draw 76%
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 76%
Walsall
0 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 23 February 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.